2017 China PV Power Industry Market Forecast
According to the 2016-2020 China Solar Photovoltaic Power Industry Survey and Development Prospect Forecast Report, as of November 2016, the cumulative grid-connected PV power plant capacity in China has exceeded 74GW, of which only from January to October 2016, China added new photovoltaic power. The power generation capacity will reach 30 GW.
What are the advantages of solar photovoltaic power generation in the development of new energy? Solar energy is considered as an inexhaustible source of energy. It does not need to be mined and transported. It can be used in places where sunlight is available, and it is non-toxic, non-polluting and non-carbon emitting. Photovoltaic equipment can be installed either on the vast land in the northwest, on the densely populated roof in the east, or on the surface of the water, where it can be said to have sunlight. What is the status and trend of the inexhaustible photovoltaic power generation industry in China?
China's current solar photovoltaic power generation market size: solar photovoltaic power generation industry
According to the 2016-2020 China Solar Photovoltaic Power Industry Survey and Development Prospect Forecast Report, as of November 2016, the cumulative grid-connected PV power plant capacity in China has exceeded 74GW, of which only from January to October 2016, China added new photovoltaic power generation capacity It will reach 30GW. According to current conditions, cumulative grid capacity will exceed 75 GW by the end of this year. On this basis, it is expected that by the end of 2018, the cumulative grid-connected photovoltaic capacity in China will reach 110GW.
It should be noted that among the 74GW power plants currently connected to the grid, there are no subsidy indicators for PV power plants under construction or built that exceed 5GW.
China Solar Photovoltaic Power Market Forecast for 2017: Accumulative grid-connected capacity will exceed 100GW
——The total number of PV power plant scales issued by the state in 2016 was 23.83 GW, of which the 5.5 GW leader in the project, except for 500 MW in Zhangjiakou, was partially started. The rest did not start. According to regulations, this part of the leader project will Completion of the grid connection by the end of 2017.
- The first batch of 5.16GW PV poverty alleviation projects was just announced in mid-October, and the document does not specify the time for completion of the grid connection. Therefore, a considerable proportion of the projects will need to be completed until 2017.
—— Of the 12.6 GW ordinary photovoltaic power plant targets in 2016, approximately 5 GW will be completed in the first half of 2017.
The total capacity of the above three types of grid-connected projects that will be connected to the 2016 grid in 2017 is expected to be approximately 15 GW.
According to the convention, based on the distribution of subsidies indicators for 2015 and 2016, assuming 2017, assuming 5GW of general indicators, 5GW of new leader bases, and 5GW of PV for poverty alleviation, plus 5GW of commercial and industrial distributed without using indicators, then the new 2017 Increase the scale or reach 20GW.
Even if the grid-connected power grids that were previously grid-connected but lacking indicators were subtracted from the previous 5 GW, according to this data, the cumulative grid-connected PV power plants in China will exceed 100 GW by the end of 2017. Therefore, by the year 2018, 110 GW will have no suspense.
In addition, the 2017 green certification system is expected to be formally implemented. Several power generation companies with large thermal power plants will focus on non-water renewable energy sources. If there are fewer ground power station indicators, the distributed photovoltaic market that does not occupy the indicator will be A fierce competition.
The “13th Five-Year Plan” for electricity previously released mentioned: “In 2020, the installed capacity of solar power will reach 110 million kilowatts or more, of which more than 60 million kilowatts of distributed photovoltaics and 5 million kilowatts of solar thermal power.” It is reported that in the forthcoming “13th Five-Year Plan for Energy” and the “13th Five-Year Plan” for solar energy utilization, the installation requirements for photovoltaic power generation are all around 110 GW. It should be emphasized that the 13th Five-Year Plan only stipulates the basic goal of photovoltaic power generation development, and is not an upper limit requirement. Taking the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” as an example, the plan put forward the goal of achieving 21GW of installed solar power by 2015. In fact, as of the end of 2015, the cumulative installed capacity of China’s photovoltaic power generation reached 43GW, which is “12th Five-Year” solar power generation. 2 times the installed target. It is expected that by the end of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan”, China’s cumulative installed capacity of solar power is expected to exceed 150 GW.
To sum up, in 2017, the scale of China's solar photovoltaic power generation industry will further break through, from 74GW to 100GW, and the new scale will reach 26GW. It can be seen that China's solar photovoltaic power generation industry in 2017 has broad prospects.
Source: China Report Hall